It’s Probably a Bad Idea to Short Bitcoin in the Next Few Days

People are still shorting bitcoin. Look at this table and then I will explain: This is a table of the funding rates for the Bitmex XBTUSD perpetual contract, the most liquid Bitcoin futures contract in the world. Volume in the last 24 hours? One point seven billion USD. I think it’s a pretty reliable indicator of sentiment about… Read More »

In the Eye of the Hurricane

July SHOULD be a quiet month. August, not so much. By September it will get crazy again. I see Ethereum is bouncing around, hitting $2400 earlier this week, and now testing $2100. In the short-term nobody knows anything although lots of people pretend to. But in the first week of August, expect big news to be announced in… Read More »

The Purgatory of the Successful (Long-Term) Cryptocurrency Investor

Recently my wife and I drove to Osoyoos, the epicenter of Canada’s wine industry, for a few days of wine tastings. I should have stayed there. The emotional state of a long-term crypto-investor is brief periods of euphoria followed by moments of horror followed by long periods of gloom-and-doom. Here we go, again. At times like this, I… Read More »

I’m Not Crazy, You’re Crazy

Going big into crypto in the spring of 2017 was an easy decision, as we were dying elsewhere Our big meal ticket, the oil and gas sector, had gone dry back in 2014 when the Saudi sheiks decided to start a price war and put the American shale producers out of business. There were no other good choices.… Read More »